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Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence
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Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence


Other Titles in:
Intelligence

October 2012 | 360 pages | CQ Press
Accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners Beebe and Pherson have created a set of twelve robust, class-tested cases on events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decision-making support. The case studies are designed to give analysts-intraining a hands-on opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques to tackle real-life problems. Each case delivers a compelling narrative and a set of step-by-step instructions that make teaching and learning as effective and efficient as possible.

Key Features:

- Questions at the start of each case challenge the student to think critically and help the students bring the case into focus;

- Carefully crafted narratives provide the right amount of detail to give a realistic sense of the complexity and challenges of the case;

- Recommended readings at the end of each narrative allow room for further research

- Sections entitled "Structured Analytic Techniques in Action" frame the analytic tasks and provide step-by-step instructions for applying three to fi ve analytic techniques in a series of exercises for each case study;

- Two hundred photos, maps, figures, tables, boxes, and technique templates support analysis and instruction; and

- A matrix of the cases and techniques used in each cases augment the annotated table of contents and provide students and instructors an all-in-one view of the contents.

 
Introduction
 
I. HOW DO I GET STARTED?
 
1. Who Are the Customers?
 
2. What Are the Key Questions?
 
3. What Is the Broader Context For Analysis?
 
4. How Should I Conceptualize My Product?
 
5. What Is My Analytic Approach?
 
6. Can Collaboration Contribute To a Better Answer?
 
II. WHERE IS THE INFORMATION I NEED?
 
7. How Do Models Help My Analysis?
 
8. What Types Of Information Are Available?
 
9. Can I Trust My Sources?
 
10. How Should I Evaluate Sources On the Internet?
 
III. WHAT IS MY ARGUMENT?
 
11. Are My Key Assumptions Well-Founded?
 
12. Can I Make My Case?
 
13. Did I Consider Alternative Hypotheses?
 
14. How Do I Deal With Politicization?
 
15. How Might I Be Spectacularly Wrong?
 
11. Are My Key Assumptions Well-Founded?
 
12. Can I Make My Case?
 
13. Did I Consider Alternative Hypotheses?
 
14. How Do I Deal With Politicization?
 
15. How Might I Be Spectacularly Wrong?
 
IV. HOW DO I CONVEY MY MESSAGE EFFECTIVELY?
 
16. Is My Argument Persuasive?
 
17. How Should I Portray Probability and Levels Of Confidence?
 
18. How Can Graphics Support My Analysis?
 
19. How Do I Present My Message In the Most Compelling Way?
 
20. How Do I Know When I Am Done?
 
V. CASE STUDIES
 
21. Countering the Iranian Nuclear Threat: Stuxnet and its Broader Implications
 
22. Puzzling Food Poisonings in Germany
 
23. The End of the Era of Aircraft Carriers
 
24. Financial Crisis in the United States: Chronic or Avoidable?
 
25. Yemen: The Next Afghanistan?

This is an excellent book for students of Intelligence studies.

Mr Ikrom Yakubov
Department of Politics, Dundee University
March 3, 2016

A brief and concise book that helps implement critical thinking strategies.

Mrs Ilse De Bruin
Training and Development, Erudio Interactive
July 23, 2014

An indispensable text for beginners and not only in the field of intelligence supporting them in selection the user relevant information and making sense of it efficiently and effectively.

Mrs Beata Kviatek - Simanska
School of Communication, Media, and IT, Hanze University of Applied Sciences
November 21, 2013

Sample Materials & Chapters

Chapter 1


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Katherine Hibbs Pherson

Katherine Hibbs Pherson, President of Globalytica, LLC, consults with government and private industry on building strong analytic communities, the use of structured analytic techniques, and security issues. She teaches certificate courses on structured thinking and presentation for the security association ASIS International and in the Intelligence Masters program at Universidad Rey Juan Carlos in Madrid, Spain. As Vice Chair of the Intelligence and National Security Association (INSA)’s Security Policy Reform Council, she was primary drafter of its white paper titled “Next Steps for... More About Author

Randolph H. Pherson

Randolph H. Pherson is president of Pherson Associates, LLC; CEO of Globalytica, LLC; and a founding director of the nonprofit Forum Foundation for Analytic Excellence. He teaches advanced analytic techniques and critical thinking skills to analysts in the government and private sector. Mr. Pherson collaborated with Richards Heuer Jr. in developing and launching use of Analysis of Competing Hypotheses, and he developed several analytic techniques for the CIA’s Sherman Kent School, many of which were incorporated in his Handbook of Analytic Tools and Techniques. He coauthored Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence with Katherine Hibbs... More About Author

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ISBN: 9781452226675
$45.00 

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